President Barack Obama now holds a 48 percent to 45 percent advantage over challenger Mitt Romney among likely voters in Nevada, extending a slim lead from a week ago, according to an 8 News NOW/Las Vegas Review-Journal poll released early Wednesday morning.
But the bilingual cell phone and landline poll from SurveyUSA of Clifton, N.J., shows that the race between Democrat Obama and Republican Romney is still a virtual toss-up because it is within the poll's 3.5 percent margin of error. The sample of 806 likely voters, taken Oct. 11 through Monday, also found that 3 percent preferred other candidates and 3 percent remained undecided.
Last week's 8 News NOW/Review-Journal poll, taken after the first presidential debate, showed Obama with a 47-46 percent lead.
How the two major candidates are viewed is also a virtual toss-up. Romney is viewed both favorably and unfavorably by 43 percent of respondents, a favorability rating of zero. Obama has a favorability rating of minus one, with 44 percent viewing him favorably and 45 percent disliking him. Last week, Romney had a favorability rating of plus one and Obama was at minus two.
Obama enjoys an advantage over Romney in these demographics: women, 52 to 42 percent; 18- to 34-year-olds, 54 to 38 percent; blacks, 81 to 15 percent; Hispanics, 52 to 44 percent; Democrats, 88 to 9 percent; moderates, 53 to 41 percent; liberals, 80 to 13 percent; union households, 54 to 40 percent; households with active military members or veterans, 50 to 42 percent; those who never went beyond high school, 57 to 36 percent; those who earn less than $40,000 annually, 58 to 34 percent; and those who live in Clark County outside urban Las Vegas, 51 to 40 percent.
Romney holds an edge over Obama in these demographics: men, 49 to 44 percent; residents 65 and older, 53 to 44 percent; whites, 50 to 44 percent; Asian-Americans, 45 to 42 percent; Republicans, 89 to 9 percent; independents, 52 to 34 percent; tea party members, 82 to 15 percent; conservatives, 78 to 17 percent; households with active military members or veterans, 52 to 44 percent; those who attended some college, 49 to 45 percent; college degree holders, 48 to 46 percent; those who earn more than $80,000 a year, 55 to 39 percent; Washoe County residents, 48 to 46 percent; and those who live elsewhere in Nevada outside Clark County, 58 to 36 percent.
The demographics where there is a tie or they're within 1 percent of one another include likely voters aged 35 to 64, nonunion households, middle-income earners and urban Las Vegas residents.
The composition of the poll includes 40 percent of likely voters who identified themselves as Democrats, 31 percent as Republicans and 27 percent as independents. Last week's poll had the same percentage of Democrats but also consisted of 33 percent who identified themselves as Republicans and 25 percent who said they were independents, translating to a slightly smaller percentage of likely voters who are identifying themselves as Republicans.
In the latest poll, moderates account for 41 percent, conservatives represent 31 percent and 19 percent are liberals. Among those polled, 7 percent are tea party members, 18 percent belong to union households, and 34 percent live in military/veteran households.
By gender, 52 percent are male and the same percentage are ages 18 to 49. The respondents are 62 percent white, 20 percent Hispanic, 11 percent Asian-American and 8 percent black. Some 22 percent live in urban Las Vegas, 49 percent reside in the rest of Clark County, 17 percent call Washoe County home and 12 percent live elsewhere in Nevada. Among respondents, 36 percent hold a college degree and 40 percent have some college experience. Some 33 percent earn less than $40,000 a year, 39 percent are middle-income earners, and 28 percent make more than $80,000 annually.
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